FAA SMART: What the AI Air Traffic Planning System Is, and What It Is Not
Last updated: November 13, 2026
Editor’s note This is a prelimnary draft researched and written with AI assistance on 2026-11-13, while a nationwide ground stop was in progress. It showcases some of Citizen Analyst’s reporting toolsFor the latest updates, visit the FAA’s official Operations and Procedures page or your airline’s customer service portal. This draft will be updated as new information becomes available and the ground stop situation evolves. The ground-stop section is accurate as of 21:36 UTC (4:36 p.m. ET) and must be re-checked before anything is promoted. Every source below was retrieved in this session unless it is marked otherwise. Items marked [NEEDS VERIFICATION] were seen in only one secondary source or could not be read in full. The DOT’s September 21 release, Politico, CNN and The Hill all refused automated retrieval. Those four sources are cited here only through the outlets that quoted them. A second research pass the same day added the procurement record: federal spending data, FAA solicitations, the 2024 reauthorization text and FEC filings (sources 30–55).
The Brief
SMART (Strategic Management of Airspace, Routes and Trajectories) is an AI-supported planning system that the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) began using on September 21, 2026. It combines about 200 data feeds, including airline schedules, weather, airport capacity and controller staffing, and recommends departure times and routes before flights leave the gate. FAA staff review its recommendations, and local facility managers can accept or decline them. It does not talk to pilots, issue clearances or keep aircraft apart. Those jobs stay with air traffic controllers.
SMART began around the three Washington, D.C., airports. On November 10 the FAA said SMART was active in the airspace of all 22 of its en route centers. That was 50 days into a rollout that lawmakers had been told would open with a 90-day evaluation. A private company, Air Space Intelligence (ASI), built SMART under a 12-year, firm fixed-price contract with a ceiling of $875.95 million. Federal spending records show about $23.3 million obligated so far, half of it on the day SMART went live. The FAA has also been reported to be negotiating for an ownership stake in the company.
On the November 13 ground stop: The FAA halted departures nationwide at 3:54 p.m. ET. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy attributed the stop to “a communication issue impacting all Air Route Traffic Control Centers.” **As of this writing, no official statement and no credible report links the ground stop to SMART.** No one has publicly ruled SMART out either. The cause has not been identified.
Why It Matters
- It is the first AI-supported tool at the center of U.S. air traffic flow management.
Traffic flow management is the part of air traffic control that decides how many flights an airport or region can take, and when. SMART now informs those decisions nationwide.
- It spread faster than its own evaluation plan. It covered 3 airports on September 21 and all
22 en route centers by November 10. Twenty-five Democratic members of Congress had asked for a pause until the FAA showed its safety testing. The FAA’s November announcement did not answer their questions, according to AVweb.
- The union whose members carry out the recommendations was not involved. The National Air
Traffic Controllers Association (NATCA) said it had not taken part in SMART’s “design, testing, or implementation.”
- The government may become a part-owner of its own contractor. If the reported equity talks
succeed, the FAA would be ASI’s customer, its safety regulator and one of its shareholders.
- It was bought on a fast track. After three market surveys over five years, the FAA used a
“challenge-based” competition and, according to AeroTime, special acquisition authorities that the FAA Administrator issued for air traffic modernization. The contract is recorded as a commercial purchase that did not require certified cost or pricing data.
The Facts
What SMART does
The FAA’s one-page fact sheet calls SMART “a cloud-based platform system that enhances existing FAA air traffic management systems.” It says that “using AI, SMART analyzes airline schedules, weather, airport capacity, airspace conditions, and operational constraints to predict traffic flows and identify potential conflicts before they occur.” The fact sheet states its goal as “zero delays at the start of the day.”
The fact sheet describes SMART as “a planning layer that works alongside existing FAA systems.” It also says plainly: “Air traffic controllers remain responsible for keeping aircraft safely separated. SMART helps them do that.”
The system works on hours-to-weeks timescales. FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford told Congress on September 15 that it works by “adjusting departure times, routes, and timing at designated points enroute” (quoted by Airways). Its first operational use, Airways reported, citing Reuters, was rescheduling flights after weather cancellations.
| Data SMART draws on (per DOT, via The National News Desk) |
|---|
| Airline schedules |
| Weather forecasts |
| Flight paths |
| Airport capacity |
| Traffic flow |
| Airspace conditions |
| Controller staffing metrics |
The FAA has not said publicly which AI models SMART uses or how it tested them. The lawmakers’ October 9 letter asked for that information (question 4).
How a recommendation reaches the airspace
Several outlets describe the same path. Their wording varies; the order does not.
- FAA specialists at a “SMART center” in Washington analyze and validate the system’s output.
DOT and the FAA built that center with ASI.
- The recommendation goes to the Air Traffic Control System Command Center in Warrenton,
Virginia. The Command Center is the FAA’s national traffic-flow hub.
- It is passed through existing channels to local facilities. Local management “determines
whether to implement” it (AVweb).
- Controllers act on whatever the facility adopts, using the systems they already have.
Pilots, FLYING reported, “may now receive routing and schedule recommendations from air traffic control … that were informed by an AI-powered system.”
Duffy has called it “dumb AI” and said that “air traffic controllers will always control the airspace” (Fox Business, as reported by Reuters). DOT told Reuters that the system “does not involve active management of planes in the sky.”
Where SMART fits in the FAA’s systems
SMART is a capability within Flow Management Data and Services (FMDS). FMDS is the program replacing the Traffic Flow Management System (TFMS), the decades-old software the Command Center uses to balance demand against capacity. The FAA’s June 22, 2026 award announcement describes the two pieces separately:
| What the FAA says it does | |
|---|---|
| FMDS | “The new technological backbone” of the Command Center. It “analyzes flight plans, airline schedules, and real-time position updates to estimate both current and anticipated traffic flows and capacity limitations.” Command Center managers “will use FMDS to adjust flight schedules and trajectories to manage congestion.” It also “uses real-time predictive modeling to orchestrate highly localized flight reroutes around severe weather constraints.” |
| SMART | “An enhancement within FMDS” that “will use that data to prevent congestion and delays by strategically coordinating schedules and trajectories before aircraft depart.” |
In other words, SMART is the visible first piece of a much larger replacement. FMDS itself is the system of record that traffic managers across the country will work from once TFMS is retired. ASI said it expects both to be rolled out within 12 to 24 months of the award (Nextgov/FCW).
What TFMS does today. The FAA’s 2020 market survey describes TFMS as the system that “receives information on planned and active flights, generates forecasts of demand from current time to several hours forward,” and supports the ground delay programs, reroutes and other “Traffic Management Initiatives” used to relieve congestion. Its core runs at the FAA’s William J. Hughes Technical Center in New Jersey. Traffic managers use it at the Command Center, at all en route centers and at busy approach-control facilities and towers. The same survey listed the old system’s shortfalls: end-of-life hardware and software, “single points of failure,” custom communication methods and slow software updates.
Both FMDS and SMART sit inside the administration’s wider air traffic control rebuild, which Duffy launched in May 2025. The July 2025 reconciliation law provided $12.5 billion for that rebuild, and the FAA has said it needs about $20 billion more (Nextgov/FCW). The rebuild’s lead integrator, Peraton, holds a separate contract (see “The vendors” below).
How the FAA bought it
| Date | Step | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Nov. 17, 2020 | First FMDS market survey (AAQ-250-FMDS). Names CSRA LLC as the TFMS incumbent and asks industry about cloud, DevOps, work in a “FedRAMP high environment,” and how “to increase the role of artificial intelligence, machine learning, automation.” | FAA market survey (PDF) |
| June 2022 | Second market survey | FAA notice, as described in the third survey |
| Aug. 3, 2023 | Third market survey (FMDS-2023-MS3). The FAA describes the work as to “design, develop, test, implement and maintain FMDS” using Agile and DevSecOps methods. | HigherGov (SAM.gov mirror) |
| May 16, 2024 | The FAA reportedly says it is “no longer pursuing a competitive procurement action for FMDS at this time,” and relies on the existing TFMS contract with General Dynamics IT [NEEDS VERIFICATION: seen only in an aggregator summary of the SAM.gov notice] | HigherGov |
| May 16, 2024 | The FAA Reauthorization Act of 2024 (Public Law 118-63) becomes law. Section 619(e)(3) addresses FMDS (see below). | govinfo.gov |
| July 2025 | The FAA opens the competition with a “Request for Solutions” | AeroTime |
| Sept. 2025 | Administrator Bedford issues a notice authorizing “special acquisition authorities” for air traffic modernization, which AeroTime reports names FMDS | AeroTime (notice not retrieved) |
| Sept. 24, 2025 | The FAA announces a “streamlined, innovative vendor challenge” for FMDS (solicitation FMDS-2025-ChBA, a challenge-based acquisition). Concept papers are due Oct. 10, 2025. Demonstrations and prototypes follow. The notice targets initial operating capability by December 2028. | FAA press release; HigherGov |
| June 22–23, 2026 | Contract 693KA726C00064 is signed with ASI (June 23). Duffy and Bedford announce it June 22. | USAspending; FAA press release |
| Sept. 21, 2026 | SMART goes live around Washington. The same day, the FAA adds $11.86 million to the contract. | USAspending; The National News Desk |
What Congress actually required. The FAA’s 2025 challenge announcement says the new system “is a requirement in the 2024 FAA Reauthorization.” The statutory text is narrower and conditional. Section 619(e)(3) of Public Law 118-63 reads: “Not later than 4 years after the date of enactment of this Act, if the Administrator finds that Terminal Flight Data Manager systems would be beneficial to safety or efficiency, the Administrator shall install Flow Management Data and Services at airports described under paragraph (1).” Those are the 89 or more airports slated for the Terminal Flight Data Manager, a tower system, and paragraph (4) makes all of it “contingent on the appropriation of funds.” The law does not mention SMART or artificial intelligence.
The contract record
These are the fields the FAA reported to the federal procurement database, as shown on USAspending.gov (record last modified Sept. 21, 2026).
| Field | Recorded value |
|---|---|
| Contract | 693KA726C00064, a definitive contract |
| Contractor | Air Space Intelligence, Inc., 341 Newbury St., Boston (UEI GCDSAEN4J7H4) |
| Contracting office | FAA, Enroute and Terminal Contracts (693KA7) |
| Signed | June 23, 2026 |
| Period of performance | June 23, 2026 to June 21, 2038 |
| Ceiling (total potential value) | $875,950,000 (reported by the FAA’s award summary, via Orangeslices and HigherGov) |
| Obligated to date | $23,340,500 (about 2.7% of the ceiling) |
| Pricing | Firm fixed price |
| Commercial item | Yes, “commercial products/services” |
| Certified cost or pricing data | Not required |
| Offers received | 12 |
| Competition field | “Full and open competition after exclusion of sources,” using “alternative sources” procedures |
| Set-aside | None. ASI is recorded as a small business. |
| Subcontracting plan | Not required. No subawards reported. |
| Industry and service codes | NAICS 541511 (custom computer programming); PSC R425 (engineering and technical support) |
| Place of performance | Washington, D.C. |
| Funding account | FAA Facilities and Equipment, Airport and Airway Trust Fund (069-8107) |
The FAA buys under its own Acquisition Management System rather than the Federal Acquisition Regulation (the 2020 market survey cites AMS policy). The competition labels above follow the government-wide database’s categories and may not map neatly onto the challenge process. The record does not say which sources were excluded [NEEDS VERIFICATION].
| Date | Action | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Award | $11,484,250 |
| July 17, 2026 | Modification P00001 (administrative) | $0 |
| Sept. 21, 2026 | Modification P00002 (funding only) | $11,856,250 |
| Total obligated | $23,340,500 |
The FAA has not published the statement of work, the challenge rules or the evaluation record. The 2023 market survey’s technical attachments were export-controlled and released only to vendors who signed a non-disclosure agreement. No bid protest has been found at the FAA’s Office of Dispute Resolution for Acquisition, which hears FAA protests instead of the Government Accountability Office [NEEDS VERIFICATION: absence of a protest is unconfirmed].
The vendors
FMDS and SMART are not a one-company job. Federal spending records show a ring of contractors around the old system and its replacement.
| Company | Role | Key record | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Space Intelligence, Inc. | Prime contractor for FMDS and SMART | 693KA726C00064; $23.3M obligated of a $875.95M ceiling | USAspending |
| General Dynamics Information Technology (GDIT) | Runs and sustains the legacy TFMS. Now also buying hardware for FMDS. | TFMS operations and sustainment contract 693KA718D00001 (Oct. 2017 to Oct. 2027, 2 offers): 44 orders totalling about $242.6M obligated. Task order 693KA726F00021 (Sept. 23, 2026, cost-plus-fixed-fee, $22.3M obligated) is “to procure and process the hardware needed to support implementation of the new FMDS system,” including replacement of TFMS remote-site components. | USAspending |
| SAIC | TFMS and FMDS program-office support | Orders under the Air Traffic Engineering and Program Support contract it inherited from Engility. The latest, 693KA924F00034, totals $18.4M (Jan. 2024 to May 2026). | USAspending |
| Noblis, Inc. | Systems engineering and validation | 693KA926F00048 ($1.14M, May 2026): support “for the modernization of the TFMS remote sites” | USAspending |
| Regulus Group, LLC | Program support for TFMS, FMDS and Time-Based Flow Management | 693KA926F00092 ($1.0M, May 2026) | USAspending |
| Peraton | Lead integrator for the overall air traffic control rebuild (radar, radios, telecom, facilities). No public record ties it to FMDS or SMART. | Selected Dec. 2025 | Washington Technology; FAA |
| Amazon Web Services | Cloud host for ASI’s platform. ASI’s defense work runs in AWS GovCloud. Neither the FAA nor ASI has said where SMART itself is hosted. | AWS Public Sector blog, April 6, 2026 | AWS |
| Palantir; Thales | Reported rival finalists for the SMART work. Not named in any FAA document. | FLYING; DroneXL |
The 2020 market survey named CSRA LLC as the TFMS incumbent. General Dynamics bought CSRA in April 2018 and folded it into GDIT (Nextgov, 2018), which is why the same contract now appears under GDIT’s name. GDIT, the company that holds the system being replaced, is being paid to buy the replacement’s hardware. That is common in federal IT transitions, but it means two contractors will share responsibility for traffic flow management for the length of the transition (Analysis).
The FAA has not said whether FMDS or SMART holds a FedRAMP cloud-security authorization or an FAA authority to operate. No FedRAMP Marketplace listing for ASI was found [NEEDS VERIFICATION].
The company
| Item | Detail | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Founded | 2018 | Craft.co (secondary) |
| Founders | Phillip Buckendorf (CEO), Kris Dorosz (CTO), Lucas Kukielka | Public biographies (secondary) |
| Headquarters | Boston, since 2024 | DroneXL; USAspending address |
| Series B | $34M led by Andreessen Horowitz, announced Dec. 7, 2023 | Company release (GlobeNewswire) |
| Series C | $325M led by Spark Capital at a $3B valuation, announced Oct. 21, 2026. Andreessen Horowitz, Meritech, Craft Ventures, Energy Impact Partners and affiliates of Citadel Securities also took part. | WilmerHale (ASI’s counsel) |
| Airline product | Flyways, used by Alaska (since 2021), Delta and United | NPR |
| Defense affiliate | Air Space Intelligence Federal, Inc. | USAspending |
The Series C closed four months after the FAA award and six days after Politico reported the FAA’s equity talks. The announcement did not mention the FAA stake.
ASI’s federal defense business runs through its affiliate. USAspending shows these awards to Air Space Intelligence Federal, Inc.:
| Award | Agency | Amount | Period | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA445225P0036 | Air Force | $5,000,000 | Sept. 2025 to Sept. 2026 | Licence for “the cloud-hosted Flyways AI platform” for the 618th Air Operations Center and Air Mobility Command |
| FA873023PB024 | Air Force | $3,250,000 | Sept. 2023 to Sept. 2025 | “Flyways AI platform and support” |
| FA521523C0020 | Air Force | $1,496,000 | Oct. 2023 to Nov. 2025 | “Domain awareness technology” |
| FA864923P0156 | Air Force | $74,582 | Oct. 2022 to Feb. 2023 | “Flyways artificial intelligence (AI) for airspace awareness and defense” |
| HQ085926FG261 | Missile Defense Agency | $500 | Dec. 2025 to Dec. 2035 | Initial order under the SHIELD homeland-defense contract |
Two larger defense awards are reported but not yet confirmed in the spending database. One is an Army contract with a ceiling of up to $99 million, awarded Sept. 29, 2026, for Next Generation Command and Control software (HigherGov; Runtime Wire). The other is a $26 million sole-source Air Force order (FA4452-26-P-0019) **[NEEDS VERIFICATION: neither appears on USAspending as of Nov. 13]**.
Lobbying and political giving
Lobbying. Third-party aggregators of Senate lobbying disclosures show four outside firms reporting about $1.19 million in ASI lobbying fees across 2025 and 2026: Atlas Crossing, Venture Government Strategies, The Dionne Company and Invariant. Their issues include aviation, defense and appropriations, and the agencies lobbied include the FAA and DOT. ASI also registered to lobby in house in November 2025 **[NEEDS VERIFICATION: the Senate lobbying database was offline during research, so these figures come from congress.wiki and ProPublica, not the filings]**.
The ASI PAC (Documented). Air Space Intelligence, Inc. PAC (FEC committee C00930628) registered Dec. 15, 2025, as a lobbyist/registrant PAC. Through Oct. 14, 2026 it raised $72,278 and gave $51,500 to federal candidates and committees. Recipients include Reps. Ken Calvert, Mario Diaz-Balart, David Valadao, David Rouzer and Steve Womack, Sen. Lisa Murkowski, the joint fundraising committees of Sens. Jerry Moran and Tim Sheehy, and several leadership PACs.
One contribution went to a non-incumbent. On March 31, 2026, the ASI PAC gave $2,500 to Alfonso for Congress (FEC filing image 202604209863305979). Michael Alfonso was then a Republican candidate for Wisconsin’s 7th District, the seat Duffy once held. He is married to Duffy’s daughter, Evita Duffy-Alfonso (WPR), and won the seat in the Nov. 3 general election (Fox News). The FAA announced the ASI award 12 weeks after the contribution.
No public evidence connects the contribution to the award decision. The contract was competed and drew 12 offers. No public record shows whether Duffy had any role in the source selection, or whether he recused himself from it **[NEEDS VERIFICATION: ask DOT whether Duffy took part in or was recused from the FMDS/SMART selection]**.
The rollout
| Date | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | FMDS/SMART contract awarded to ASI | FLYING; Nextgov/FCW |
| Sept. 21, 2026 | SMART begins “in a limited mode” for DCA, IAD and BWI airspace | The National News Desk; Lawmakers’ letter |
| Sept. 21, 2026 | Separate East Coast ground stops. Early reports cite a clipped fiber-optic cable in New Jersey and frequency problems at Philadelphia TRACON. Futurism reported “no current indication” of a link to SMART | Futurism (citing Reuters, CBS21) |
| Sept. 22, 2026 | NATCA says it was not involved in SMART’s design, testing or implementation | FLYING |
| Oct. 9, 2026 | 24 House members and Sen. Chris Van Hollen ask for a pause, with a reply due Oct. 19 | Letter (PDF); Van Hollen release |
| Oct. 15–16, 2026 | Politico reports that the FAA is negotiating an equity warrant in ASI | AVweb; AeroTime; Semafor |
| Nov. 10, 2026 | FAA says SMART is active in the airspace of all 22 en route centers | FLYING; AVweb; Gizmodo |
| Nov. 13, 2026 | Nationwide ground stop. Duffy cites a communication issue at all en route centers | FAA Advisory 111; Duffy on X |
The only performance figures are the FAA’s own. Since September 21, SMART has “helped reroute 180 flights,” saving an average of 10 minutes and nearly 80 gallons of fuel per flight (FLYING; AVweb). That works out to about 14,400 gallons in total (Estimated: 180 × 80). The FAA gave no baseline. Airways and Avi-Go note that these are agency-reported results for the flights described, not a measured reduction in delays across the system.
The objections
Congress. The October 9 letter is signed by 24 House Democrats and Sen. Chris Van Hollen, and was led by Rep. April McClain Delaney. It says the signers had “not seen any safety evaluation and testing reports” and warns of “automation bias,” the documented human tendency to over-rely on machine recommendations. It asks 18 questions. Among them:
- whether the FAA made a formal In-Service Decision before SMART began operational use;
- whether a Safety Risk Management Document was completed and signed;
- whether any review steps were “waived or truncated to meet the September 21 launch”;
- whether DOT classed SMART as “high-impact” AI under OMB Memorandum M-25-21, which the letter
says requires pre-deployment testing and an independent impact assessment for AI used in traffic control;
- who is responsible if a SMART recommendation contributes to a loss of separation.
Reuters reported a request for a reply by October 19. This briefing found no public FAA reply [NEEDS VERIFICATION]. A separate group of 23 House Democrats asked the Government Accountability Office (GAO) to review the rollout (Gizmodo, citing Ars Technica) [NEEDS VERIFICATION: date and letter not retrieved].
Controllers. NATCA told FLYING that it “has not been involved in the design, testing, or implementation of SMART and therefore cannot speak to its effect on the air traffic control workforce.” FLYING separately reported NATCA President Nick Daniels as saying SMART will not handle safety-critical separation functions. That is a paraphrase, not a direct quote.
Airlines. Before launch, airlines were unsure whether they could opt out, and three airline officials said the FAA had left questions unanswered (Airways, Sept. 18, summarizing Politico). The lawmakers’ letter quotes airline officials as saying the tool was not yet “ready to immediately transform flight operations.”
Pace. Airlines and lawmakers had been told about a 90-day first phase. The nationwide announcement came on day 50. Gizmodo wrote that “it’s not clear why the FAA is outpacing its own professed timetable.”
The ownership-stake talks
Politico reported on October 15 that it had reviewed an internal FAA document. According to that report, the agency “has prepared a term sheet outlining a potential equity investment and is negotiating a warrant that would allow the government to purchase company shares at a predetermined price.” The term sheet expires at the end of 2026, and no agreement had been finalized (AVweb, Oct. 16). Semafor reported that the talks raise questions about whether the FAA has the legal authority to make such a deal. It said the nearest statutory hook, a DOT power over interests in public transportation companies, “would be a stretch.” The FAA told Politico it could not comment, and ASI did not respond (AeroTime).
The November 13 Ground Stop: What Is and Is Not Known
Confirmed (official):
- FAA Command Center Advisory 111, signed 20:54 UTC (3:54 p.m. ET), reads: “DUE TO
EXTRAORDINARY CIRCUMSTANCES AND FOR REASONS OF SAFETY … ALL AIRPORTS ARE GROUND STOPPED.” Its planned event window ran to 04:00 UTC on November 14. Inbound international flights were to be handled “on a case by case basis.” The advisory names no cause.
- Secretary Duffy posted on X that the stop followed “a communication issue impacting all Air
Route Traffic Control Centers. FAA technicians are investigating the issue.” The 22 Air Route Traffic Control Centers (ARTCCs) handle high-altitude, en route traffic.
- This is the first nationwide ground stop since January 11, 2023. That one followed the
failure of the FAA’s NOTAM (Notice to Air Missions) system (AP via WBAY; News On 6).
Reported but unconfirmed: Aviation monitoring accounts have pointed to radio-frequency problems, including at the Kansas City center. News On 6 noted that the FAA’s advisory “does not mention a communications outage or confirm that those reported issues prompted the nationwide order.”
Status: The FAA’s public airport-status feed, read at 21:35 UTC, no longer listed a national ground stop. It showed equipment-coded (“EQ”) delays and stops at individual airports, including Newark, Chicago O’Hare, Las Vegas, Teterboro, Houston Intercontinental, Orlando and Phoenix. That suggests the national stop had been lifted or narrowed by then. No announcement confirming this was found [NEEDS VERIFICATION].
On SMART (Analysis). None of the official statements or news reports reviewed for this briefing mentions SMART, ASI, FMDS or TFMS in connection with the ground stop. Every public account describes SMART as a planning tool. Its output passes through people at the SMART center, the Command Center and local facilities. SMART is not described anywhere as part of the radio or voice-communication chain between controllers and pilots, which is the kind of system Duffy’s statement points to. This makes a direct causal link look less likely. It does not rule one out. A cloud-hosted planning system shares networks and data feeds with other FAA systems, and no technical root cause has been published. SMART’s launch day also coincided with an unrelated East Coast outage, so timing alone is weak evidence in either direction.
The Counterfactual
Suppose the FAA had held SMART in the Washington region until the 90-day evaluation ended, around December 20. A nationwide outage on November 13 would then have occurred with SMART in 3 airports’ airspace, not 22 centers’, and the question of a link would hardly arise. Suppose instead that the FAA had published its In-Service Decision, its safety-risk documentation and its evaluation metrics, as the October 9 letter asked. Then the public and Congress would have a record against which to test any claim about SMART’s role, in either direction. Because the FAA has not made that record public, the question cannot be answered from public sources today.
What would settle it: an FAA or DOT root-cause statement on the November 13 outage; any FAA reply to the October 9 letter; a DOT Inspector General or GAO review; or a National Transportation Safety Board finding if an investigation is opened.
Evidence Trail
All retrieved 2026-11-13. Tiers follow the house evidence standard: D = Documented (primary government or official record), R = Credibly reported, A = Alleged (single source).
| # | Source | Date | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAA, “SMART One Page Fact Sheet” (PDF), https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/SMART_One-Pager.pdf | PDF metadata: 2026-06-22 [publication date not stated on page] | D |
| 2 | Rep. April McClain Delaney et al., letter to Sec. Duffy and Administrator Bedford (PDF), https://ocasio-cortez.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/ocasio-cortez-evo.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/faa-smart-letter-final.pdf | 2026-10-09 | D |
| 3 | Sen. Chris Van Hollen, “Van Hollen Joins McClain Delaney, Colleagues in Call to Pause FAA’s AI Tool at Washington-Area Airports,” https://www.vanhollen.senate.gov/news/press-releases/van-hollen-joins-mcclain-delaney-colleagues-in-call-to-pause-faas-ai-tool-at-washington-area-airports | 2026-10-09 | D |
| 4 | FAA ATCSCC Advisory 111, “National Ground Stop,” https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_otherdis?adv_date=11132026&advn=111 | 2026-11-13 20:54 UTC | D |
| 5 | FAA NAS Status feed, https://nasstatus.faa.gov/api/airport-status-information | read 2026-11-13 21:35 UTC | D |
| 6 | Sec. Sean Duffy on X, https://x.com/SecDuffy/status/2121351591106072679 (read as reproduced by sources 25 and 27) | 2026-11-13 | D |
| 7 | Edward Graham, “FAA awards software and AI contract as part of air traffic control modernization,” Nextgov/FCW, https://www.nextgov.com/acquisition/2026/06/faa-awards-software-and-ai-contract-part-air-traffic-control-modernization/414354/ | 2026-06-23 | R |
| 8 | Jack Daleo, “Get SMART: FAA Picks ASI for Predictive Air Traffic Management,” FLYING (via Yahoo), https://www.yahoo.com/news/us/articles/smart-faa-picks-asi-predictive-210605515.html | 2026-06-22 | R |
| 9 | Haye Kesteloo, “FAA Awards SMART Air Traffic Contract to Air Space Intelligence, Beating Palantir and Thales,” DroneXL, https://dronexl.co/2026/06/26/faa-smart-contract-asi-air-space-intelligence/ | 2026-06-26 | R |
| 10 | Joel Rose, “The FAA wants to reboot the nation’s airspace. This airline shows how it might work,” NPR, https://www.npr.org/2026/08/10/nx-s1-5872752/airspace-reboot-alaska-airlines-flyways | 2026-08-10 | R |
| 11 | Helwing Villamizar, “FAA’s SMART Rollout Targets Congestion Before Aircraft Leave the Gate,” Airways, https://www.airwaysmag.com/new-post/faa-smart-predictive-traffic-management-rollout | 2026-09-11 | R |
| 12 | Helwing Villamizar, “FAA Prepares to Field SMART in Washington in First Operational Deployment,” Airways, https://airwaysmag.com/new-post/faa-smart-first-deployment-washington | 2026-09-18 | R |
| 13 | Alexx Altman-Devilbiss, “FAA launches AI system to predict flight delays before takeoff,” The National News Desk (NewsChannel 9), https://newschannel9.com/news/nation-world/faa-federal-aviation-administration-to-launch-ai-artificial-intelligence-system-smart-to-predict-flight-delays-before-takeoff-airspace-traffic-control-weather-routes-departure-arrival | 2026-09-21 | R |
| 14 | Joel Rose, “Aviation regulators turn to AI to help manage the nation’s airspace,” NPR, https://www.npr.org/2026/09/21/nx-s1-5976816/faa-ai-manage-airspace | 2026-09-21 | R |
| 15 | Joe Wilkins, “Hundreds of Flights Grounded Across the Eastern Seaboard as Government Rolls Out AI Air Traffic Control System,” Futurism, https://futurism.com/advanced-transport/flights-grounded-east-coast-government-faa-ai-air-traffic-control | 2026-09-21 | R (opinionated framing) |
| 16 | Jack Daleo, “FAA’s Rollout of SMART AI System Left Out ATC Union,” FLYING, https://www.flyingmag.com/faa-smart-ai-rollout-natca-atc-union/ | 2026-09-22 | R (paywalled; partial read) |
| 17 | David Shepardson, “Lawmakers Ask FAA to Pause Use of New AI Tool in DC-Area Flight Management,” Reuters via GV Wire, https://gvwire.com/2026/10/13/lawmakers-ask-faa-to-pause-use-of-new-ai-tool-in-dc-area-flight-management/ | 2026-10-13 | R |
| 18 | Matt Ryan, “FAA Seeks Ownership Stake in Air Traffic AI Contractor,” AVweb, https://www.avweb.com/aviation-news/faa-seeks-ownership-in-air-traffic-ai/ | 2026-10-16 | R |
| 19 | Eleanor Mueller and Shelby Talcott, “FAA equity talks raise questions about the agency’s legal authority,” Semafor, https://www.semafor.com/article/10/16/2026/faa-equity-talks-raise-questions-about-the-agencys-legal-authority | 2026-10-16 | R |
| 20 | Stephen Pope, “FAA seeks ownership stake in company behind AI air traffic system,” AeroTime, https://aerotime.aero/articles/faa-stake-air-space-intelligence-ai-air-traffic | 2026-10-16 | R |
| 21 | Jack Daleo, “FAA’s SMART AI System Now Active at All 22 ARTCCs,” FLYING, https://www.flyingmag.com/faa-smart-ai-now-active-at-22-artccs-nationwide/ | 2026-11-10 | R (paywalled; partial read) |
| 22 | “FAA Extends SMART Traffic-Planning System to Airspace of All 22 Centers,” Avi-Go (crediting Airways), https://avi-go.com/news/articles/88239fe573fa5d7710a2422d162c70e2 | 2026-11-11 [year not shown on page] | R |
| 23 | Matt Ryan, “FAA Expands AI-Assisted Traffic Management Nationwide,” AVweb, https://avweb.com/aviation-news/faa-expands-ai-assisted-traffic-management/ | 2026-11-12 | R |
| 24 | Tom McKay, “The FAA Is Rolling Out Its AI Air Traffic Tool Nationwide,” Gizmodo, https://gizmodo.com/the-faa-is-rolling-out-its-ai-air-traffic-tool-nationwide-2000839347 | 2026-11-12 | R |
| 25 | Hayley Vawter, “Ground stop ordered by FAA at all airports in America due to ‘extraordinary unforeseen circumstances’,” FOX Weather, https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/nationwide-ground-stop-ordered-faa | 2026-11-13 | R |
| 26 | Cassidy Mudd, “FAA issues nationwide ground stop, halting flight departures nationwide,” News On 6, https://www.newson6.com/tulsa-oklahoma-news/faa-reportedly-issues-nationwide-ground-stop | 2026-11-13 | R |
| 27 | Keenan Bassma, “FAA issues nationwide ground stop amid communication issues with ATC,” Boston 25 News, https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/faa-issues-nationwide-ground-stop-safety-reasons/QJRI62ZK5FDAPNDJ5IQ2YFSGNU/ | 2026-11-13 | R |
| 28 | AP, “Flights halted at airports across US due to air traffic control communications problems, FAA says,” via WBAY, https://www.wbay.com/2026/11/13/faa-all-us-airports-ground-stopped/ | 2026-11-13 | R |
| 29 | Jack Daleo, “FAA Orders National Ground Stop,” FLYING, https://www.flyingmag.com/faa-orders-national-ground-stop-all-airports/ | 2026-11-13 | R (paywalled; partial read) |
| 30 | FAA, “MODERN SKIES: Trump’s Transportation Secretary Sean P. Duffy Selects Air Space Intelligence to Deploy State-of-the-Art Air Traffic Control Software, Revolutionize Our Skies,” https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/modern-skies-trumps-transportation-secretary-sean-p-duffy-selects-air-space-intelligence | 2026-06-22 | D |
| 31 | FAA, “FAA Launches Vendor Challenge to Modernize Air Traffic Flow System,” https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-launches-vendor-challenge-modernize-air-traffic-flow-system | 2025-09-24 | D |
| 32 | FAA, “Market Survey Announcement: Flow Management Data and Services (FMDS) Request for Information” (AAQ-250-FMDS) (PDF), https://imlive.s3.amazonaws.com/Federal%20Government/ID113836944488061464917269282369821562654/Market_Survey_FMDS_Final_20201117.pdf | 2020-11-17 | D |
| 33 | FAA Reauthorization Act of 2024, Pub. L. 118-63, Sec. 619(e), https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/PLAW-118publ63/html/PLAW-118publ63.htm | 2024-05-16 | D |
| 34 | USAspending.gov, contract 693KA726C00064 (Air Space Intelligence, Inc.): award record, transactions and funding, https://www.usaspending.gov/award/CONT_AWD_693KA726C00064_6920_-NONE-_-NONE-/ | record modified 2026-09-21; read 2026-11-13 | D |
| 35 | USAspending.gov, GDIT task order 693KA726F00021 (FMDS hardware), https://www.usaspending.gov/award/CONT_AWD_693KA726F00021_6920_693KA718D00001_6920/ | signed 2026-09-23; modified 2026-10-13 | D |
| 36 | USAspending.gov, GDIT TFMS contract 693KA718D00001 and its 44 child orders, https://www.usaspending.gov/award/CONT_IDV_693KA718D00001_6920/ | signed 2017-10-13; modified 2026-09-22 | D |
| 37 | USAspending.gov, TFMS/FMDS support orders 693KA924F00034 (SAIC), 693KA926F00048 (Noblis), 693KA926F00092 (Regulus Group), award search for “Flow Management Data and Services” | read 2026-11-13 | D |
| 38 | USAspending.gov, awards to Air Space Intelligence Federal, Inc. (FA445225P0036, FA873023PB024, FA521523C0020, FA864923P0156, HQ085926FG261), recipient search | read 2026-11-13 | D |
| 39 | FEC, Air Space Intelligence, Inc. PAC (C00930628): committee record, 2026 totals and Schedule B, https://www.fec.gov/data/committee/C00930628/ ; Alfonso disbursement on filing image 202604209863305979, https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/fecimg/?202604209863305979 | through 2026-10-14 | D |
| 40 | FEC, candidate Michael Alfonso (H6WI07223), https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H6WI07223/ | first filed 2025-10-28 | D |
| 41 | HigherGov, “Flow Management Data and Services (FMDS) Challenge Based Acquisition” (FMDS-2025-ChBA, SAM.gov mirror), https://www.highergov.com/contract-opportunity/flow-management-data-and-services-fmds-challen-fmds-2025-chba-s-62b7b/ | posted 2025-09-24 | R (aggregator of SAM.gov) |
| 42 | HigherGov, “FAA Flow Management Data and Services (FMDS)” (FMDS-2023-MS3, with May 16, 2024 update), https://www.highergov.com/contract-opportunity/faa-flow-management-data-and-services-fmds-fmds-2023-ms3-r-cbb4a/ | 2023-08-03; update 2024-05-16 | R (aggregator; update not seen in original) |
| 43 | HigherGov, contract 693KA726C00064, https://www.highergov.com/contract/693KA726C00064/ | read 2026-11-13 | R (aggregator) |
| 44 | Orangeslices, “ASI beats out 11 to win $876M FAA Flow Management Data and Services (FMDS) System support contract,” https://orangeslices.ai/transportation-secretary-sean-p-duffy-selects-air-space-intelligence-to-deploy-state-of-the-art-air-traffic-control-software-revolutionize-our-skies/ | 2026-06-23 | R |
| 45 | Stephen Pope, “FAA accelerates ATC modernization with new procurement exemptions,” AeroTime, https://www.aerotime.aero/articles/faa-accelerates-atc-modernization-with-new-procurement-exemptions | 2025-09-25 | R |
| 46 | “Peraton wins air traffic control system overhaul contract,” Washington Technology, https://www.washingtontechnology.com/companies/2025/12/peraton-wins-air-traffic-control-system-overhaul-contract/409955/ | 2025-12 [day not confirmed] | R |
| 47 | “General Dynamics Completes CSRA Buy,” Nextgov, https://www.nextgov.com/digital-government/2018/04/general-dynamics-completes-csra-buy/147159/ | 2018-04 | R |
| 48 | “Air Space Intelligence Secures $34M Series B Financing Led by a16z,” GlobeNewswire (company release), https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2023/12/07/2792534/0/en/Air-Space-Intelligence-Secures-34M-Series-B-Financing-Led-by-a16z.html | 2023-12-07 | D (company statement) |
| 49 | WilmerHale, “Air Space Intelligence Secures $325M Series C at $3B Valuation,” https://www.wilmerhale.com/en/insights/news/20261021-air-space-intelligence-secures-325m-series-c-at-3b-valuation | 2026-10-21 | R |
| 50 | AWS Public Sector Blog, “ASI and AWS see the future of complex global operations,” https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/publicsector/asi-and-aws-see-the-future-of-complex-global-operations | 2026-04-06 | R (vendor partner) |
| 51 | HigherGov News, “Air Space Intelligence wins $99 million Army command contract,” https://www.highergov.com/news/air-space-intelligence-wins-99-million-army-comme-6490130/ ; Runtime Wire, https://runtimewire.com/article/asi-army-99m-command-control-contract | 2026-09-30 [publication date not confirmed] | R (ceiling, not obligation) |
| 52 | congress.wiki and ProPublica lobbying aggregations for “Air Space Intelligence” (LD-1/LD-2 filings) | read 2026-11-13 | A (aggregator; Senate LDA database offline) |
| 53 | Avery Martinez, “Duffy son-in-law Michael Alfonso wins bruising GOP primary in 7th Congressional District,” WPR, https://www.wpr.org/news/duffy-son-in-law-michael-alfonso-wins-bruising-gop-primary-in-7th-congressional-district | 2026-08-11 | R |
| 54 | Pedro B. Rodriguez-Aparicio, “At 26, Sean Duffy’s son-in-law is headed to Congress as its youngest member,” Fox News, https://www.foxnews.com/politics/26-sean-duffys-son-in-law-headed-congress-its-youngest-member | 2026-11-05 | R |
| 55 | Craft.co company profile, Air Space Intelligence, https://craft.co/airspace-intelligence ; founder biographies (torre.ai, Welcome to the Jungle) | [publication date not available] | A (company-profile aggregators) |
Cited only through other outlets (not retrieved): the DOT/FAA press release of September 21, 2026 (HTTP 403); Politico, Sept. 18 and Oct. 15, 2026 (blocked); CNN live coverage, Nov. 13 (HTTP 451); The Hill (HTTP 403); Ars Technica (not attempted); Administrator Bedford’s September 2025 acquisition-authorities notice; the FMDS statement of work and challenge rules (not public); the Senate lobbying database (offline). Sources 30–55 were added in a second research pass on 2026-11-13. Sources 41–52 and 55 were read by research agents in this session, not by the author directly.
Editor’s Open Items (remove before publishing)
- Re-check the ground stop before promotion: lift time, FAA root cause, any FAA/DOT statement
on SMART, and FlightAware delay and cancellation totals.
- Find out whether the FAA answered the October 9 letter, and get the GAO request letter and
its date.
- Second-pass items still open:
- Duffy’s role in the award. Ask DOT whether Duffy took part in, or recused himself from,
the FMDS/SMART selection. The ASI PAC contribution to his son-in-law is now documented (FEC) and in the body; the question is not answered.
- Pull the FMDS statement of work, the challenge rules and the source-selection record. They
are not public. A FOIA request to FAA (AAQ/Enroute and Terminal Contracts) is the route. Also get Bedford’s September 2025 acquisition-authorities notice.
- Confirm the May 16, 2024 “no longer pursuing” notice against the original SAM.gov text.
- Confirm the Army IDIQ (up to $99M) and Air Force order FA4452-26-P-0019 (~$26M) on SAM.gov or
defense.gov. Neither is on USAspending yet.
- Re-pull lobbying figures from lda.senate.gov once it is back up. The body’s $1.19M figure
comes from aggregators.
- Check ODRA for any protest of the award.
- FedRAMP/ATO. Ask FAA where SMART and FMDS are hosted and under what security authorization.
- Single-source items kept out of the body:
- (A) Airways reports that the FAA’s Steve Fulton described a “bounded introduction” limited
to flight level 240 and above. That was in June, and Airways says no later reporting confirms the limit still holds.
- (A) BigGo Finance says SMART reached the Atlanta, Jacksonville and Miami centers before the
national expansion.
- (A) HigherGov lists the GDIT TFMS contract’s ceiling as $677.5 million. USAspending does not
show a ceiling.
- Resolved: the anonymous Substack’s claims about the $2,500 contribution and the $325M
Series C are now confirmed from the FEC record and WilmerHale. The Substack is no longer relied on. Its $26M Air Force order claim remains unconfirmed (see item 3).
- Inclusion gate: Michael Alfonso is a candidate and now a member-elect of Congress, so he
is a public figure in that capacity. He is named only for a documented FEC transaction and his reported family tie.
- Link targets: consider an FAA agency-impact profile and a Bryan Bedford profile. Neither
exists in the vault today; sean-duffy-profile is the only related: link.
- Length: about 6,500 words including the Evidence Trail, against the Explainer variant’s 400–700. That is deliberate,
because a detailed briefing was requested. Cut to The Brief, Why It Matters and the ground-stop section for a short-form version.
