Democracy Threat Dashboard
Real-time tracking of autocratic and authoritarian indicators
Autocracy Index
9.9 / 10
Authoritarianism Index
10.0 / 10
Last Updated
2026-09-16 12:52 UTC
Markers of Autocracy (Structural / Institutional)
AC01
Consolidation of Executive Power
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Analysis notes Trump’s pardon plans ‘further the Authoritarian Playbook tactics of aggrandizing executive power’ and asserting unilateral authority (‘absolute right’) beyond traditional constraints.
- Context of the travel ban executive order being challenged and Trump’s insistence that ‘ultimately I have no doubt that we’ll win that particular case,’ framing judicial review as an obstacle to executive action.
- Executive order cutting off federal funds for public broadcasting and attempts to dismantle Voice of America — use of executive action to pressure and defund media, blocked by courts.
AC02
Undermining Judicial Independence
9
↓
Evidence (3)
- Trump’s own Supreme Court nominee described the president’s attacks on the judiciary as ‘disheartening and demoralising.’ The president’s ‘so-called judge’ tweet and warnings of assigning blame to courts for future terrorist attacks represent personal attacks on the judiciary that critics say ‘undermine a core principle of US democracy that courts are supposed to be independent.’
- Trump called the Supreme Court ‘a weaponized and unjust Political Organization’ and attacked Justices Gorsuch and Barrett by name, accusing them of ‘bad and wrongful rulings and intentions.’ He also disparaged Judge Boasberg’s ruling.
- Trump claimed ‘Democrats on the Court always stick together’ and that the courts are ‘highly politicized. Cases don’t matter, the Judge does!’ — delegitimizing judicial review and impartiality.
AC03
Attacks on Free Press / Media Capture
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- “I always call them the dishonest media, but they treated me nicely. (Laughter.)” — Trump reiterates his standing label of the press as “dishonest media,” a recurring delegitimizing epithet.
- Table of contents references extensive ‘Targeting of press’ including ‘Attacks on journalists during the Trump presidencies,’ ‘AP v. Budowich,’ ‘2025 Pentagon press pass forfeiture,’ ‘Hannah Natanson FBI raid,’ and suspension of television programs including ‘Jimmy Kimmel Live!’ and executive order affecting public broadcasting.
- Trump accused Senator Blumenthal of misrepresenting his discussion, and the White House Press Secretary attempted to reframe/downplay the nominee’s reported comments, a pattern of contesting media reporting of unfavorable narratives.
AC04
Politicization of Law Enforcement / Military
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- The expansion of 287(g) agreements from 32 agencies in 16 states (January 2016) to 150 agreements in 32 states (September 2020), deputizing local police as immigration enforcement ‘force multipliers,’ represents the leveraging of law enforcement institutions to carry out expansive deportation priorities under the Trump administration.
- Musk’s team was ‘given highly sensitive government data’ and empowered to fire personnel based on alignment with ‘the administration’s values and priorities,’ indicating loyalty-based personnel control across agencies.
- The headline frames immigration enforcement (‘Trump Is Forcing Her to Self-Deport’) as being directed at a Democratic political operative (‘She’s Helping Dems Take Back Congress’), implying the use of immigration enforcement apparatus against a political actor.
AC05
Election Interference / Voter Suppression
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Trump and his co-conspirators’ attempt to prevent the lawful certification of the 2020 presidential election, and to interfere with millions of Americans’ right to vote and have that vote counted
- false presidential elector schemes in seven states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin)
- Trump making false claims about pipe burst stopping counting and ‘a lot of things happened’, prematurely claiming victory, and promoting protests at counting locations
AC06
Silencing Political Opposition
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Trump’s announcement that he would review the security clearances of six former government officials after they had spoken critically about him in media appearances, and threats that clearances ‘would be jeopardized and revoked’ if they continued critical commentary.
- The targeting of civil rights offices directly endangers the rights of women, LGBTQ+ people, people of color, and other groups; withholding federal funding for public school activities related to diversity, equity, and inclusion.
- Trump ‘casually threatening to jail his political enemies’ represents rhetoric aimed at intimidating and criminalizing political opposition.
AC07
Purging Civil Service / Loyalty Tests
10
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Evidence (3)
- References to DOGE dismantling USAID, with former employees describing ‘deserted office buildings with no art on the walls, with empty picture frames’ and the agency being gutted, indicating mass removal of civil servants.
- DOGE personnel ‘have encouraged the firing of tens of thousands of federal employees’ and ‘directly reshaping the federal bureaucracy through mass firings,’ undermining institutional expertise and career civil service.
- DOGE described as ‘the Elon Musk-led project to slash the federal workforce,’ including efforts ‘to encourage many of the hundreds of thousands of eligible federal employees to accept terms to quit immediately in exchange for months of pay’ — characterized as ‘ridding the government of a force seen as thwarting Trump’s policy agenda.’
AC08
Weakening Legislative Oversight
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Federal law requires the White House to give Congress a full month of warning and case-specific details before firing an IG; this notice ‘was not provided to Congress.’ Removing IGs ‘an attack on transparency and accountability’ undermines oversight mechanisms.
- Federal law requires the White House to give Congress a full month of warning and case-specific details before firing a federal inspector general. Sen. Grassley confirmed: ‘the 30 day detailed notice of removal that the law demands was not provided to Congress.’ Removing IGs undermines an oversight mechanism tied to congressional accountability.
- It’s not clear whether Republicans will have an appetite for investigating the Trump administration or be willing to pass reforms to address the issues that have been raised.
AC09
Weaponizing Prosecution
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Dismantling of Safeguards Against Waste, Fraud, Abuse, and Corruption. The Trump Administration has weakened or eliminated key offices… dedicated to protecting the public interest (implying dismantling of inspectors general and accountability mechanisms).
- Trump characterizes journalism as criminal and threatens legal consequences: ‘I actually think it’s pretty criminal because our media companies… are putting out information that they know is false… I think they could be in serious trouble.’
- Top aide suggested Harry Reid ‘might be in legal jeopardy for criticizing Trump,’ implying threat of legal action against a critic.
AC10
Dismantling Regulatory Agencies
10
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Evidence (3)
- Elon Musk’s DOGE ‘dismantling the agency’ (USAID), described as an effort to shut down a federal agency and its lifesaving work through ‘cuts to foreign aid.’
- DOGE-led agency restructuring explicitly named as the mechanism dismantling USAID.
- DOGE has ‘overseen the effective dismantling of agencies,’ aimed to ‘restructure Federal Agencies,’ and ‘slash excess regulations,’ representing DOGE-led agency restructuring that weakens independent oversight.
Markers of Authoritarianism (Rhetorical / Behavioral)
AU01
Dehumanizing Language Toward Out-Groups
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Characterizes migrants as ‘the invasion of our country’ and describes them as ‘murderers, drug dealers, gang members and people from mental institutions and insane asylums.’
- Immigrants characterized as ‘dangerous criminals, many from prisons and mental institutions that have illegally entered our country,’ associating migrants collectively with criminality and dysfunction.
- Describing immigrants as an ‘invasion’ and listing ‘murderers, drug dealers, gang members and people from mental institutions and insane asylums’ as representative of border crossers — collective criminalization and dehumanizing framing of immigrants.
AU02
Cult of Personality Promotion
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- The president has ‘summoned’ Republicans ‘to Dallas to celebrate him,’ framing a political gathering as an event centered on personal adulation and ‘moral support’ for the leader rather than policy or governance.
- Repeated personality-centered framing of national success: ‘America, as it has been for five years under my presidency, is winning, and now winning bigger than ever before’ and ‘From the very first day I announced my campaign for president in 2015, I vowed…’ centering all achievements on the leader personally.
- Self-centered framing of national success: ‘America, as it has been for five years under my presidency, is winning, and now winning bigger than ever before,’ and ‘After rebuilding our military during my first term, we have by far the strongest military anywhere in the world.’
AU03
Scapegoating / Enemy Creation
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Government framing of immigrants as ‘dangerous criminals’ and ‘the worst of the worst’ to justify mass enforcement, while actual data shows enforcement targeting people at nail salons, doughnut shops, and street markets without criminal convictions—redirecting blame onto an out-group.
- Construction of Iran as ‘the most violent and thuggish regime on earth’ and ‘the world’s No. 1 state sponsor of terror,’ building political cohesion through demonization of an external enemy.
- Iran characterized as ‘the world’s No. 1 state sponsor of terror’ and ‘this fanatical regime,’ with an accumulation of grievances used to justify war framing and shared enmity.
AU04
Demands for Personal Loyalty Over Institutional Loyalty
10
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Evidence (3)
- ‘We will immediately restore the integrity, competency and loyalty of America’s government’ — invoking ‘loyalty’ as a governmental restoration goal.
- the president is nominating individuals to serve in lifetime positions on the federal bench — individuals he believes will be loyal to him rather than to the nation’s laws and Constitution
- The explicit criterion for retention is loyalty to Trump personally: ‘we want people in positions that work with this president, not against him.’ Personal allegiance to the leader is framed as the primary qualification for federal employment, over institutional/constitutional loyalty.
AU05
Delegitimizing Elections and Democratic Processes
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- The reference to ‘insurrectionists’ and the January 6 storming of the Capitol relates to efforts to disrupt the peaceful transfer of power and certification of the 2020 election, though the article itself is retrospective reporting rather than active rhetoric.
- The Capitol riot was a ‘Stop the Steal’ rally rooted in false election-fraud claims, and Trump’s framing of the rioters as unfairly treated and his pardons validate that delegitimizing narrative. Raskin notes MAGA calls them ‘patriots,’ ‘political prisoners’ & ‘hostages.’
- The scholars characterize Trump as ‘rejecting democratic rules, denying the legitimacy of political rivals’ — an analytical description of behavior mapping to delegitimizing democratic processes.
AU06
Promoting Violence or Threatening Force
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Celebratory framing of military violence: ‘That hit was quick, lethal, violent and respected by everyone all over the world’ regarding the taking of Venezuela, and boasting that Iran’s ‘leaders, most of them… are now dead.’
- Celebratory framing of lethal military force: ‘That hit was quick, lethal, violent and respected by everyone all over the world,’ and vows that ‘heavy strikes would continue.’ The rhetoric glorifies violence and destruction.
- Trump’s rhetoric labeling judges as ‘lunatics,’ ‘crooked,’ ‘communist radical left judges,’ and ‘fools and lapdogs’ precedes documented waves of death threats. DAG Blanche stated ‘it’s a war, man,’ framing the judiciary in combative terms.
AU07
Conspiracy Theories as Governance Tools
10
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Evidence (3)
- Featured sections promoting ‘Lab Leak: The True Origins of Covid-19’ and declassification of ‘JFK Files’ and ‘RFK Files’ suggest conspiracy theory validation as official policy
- Promoting unsubstantiated claims about pipe burst affecting counting, false fraud allegations used to justify calls for overturning election results
- Trump promoted false narratives about election irregularities, including claims about a pipe burst that ‘totally unrelated to the location of what was happening’ affecting vote counting
AU08
Nationalist / Populist Demagoguery
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- The nationwide mass deportation of ‘all undocumented immigrants’ as a signature policy reflects xenophobic nationalist targeting of an out-group, consistent with us-vs-them population division. Inferred from the described policy rather than direct rhetoric in the source.
- Strong nationalist framing with ‘us vs. them’ war rhetoric: ‘our enemies are losing and America… is winning,’ ‘we have by far the strongest military anywhere in the world,’ and portrayal of America as savior of ‘the free world.’
- Us-vs-them nationalist framing throughout: ‘Our enemies are losing and America… is winning,’ portraying the U.S. as dominant global victor and framing military conquest as national glory.
AU09
Rejection of Accountability / Rule of Law
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- has dismissed concerns that he may face potential conflicts of interest as president
- Mass pardons undoing legal accountability for those who committed violence against the Capitol, described as reflecting ‘Trump’s effort to rewrite and whitewash the history of his efforts to remain in power after losing the 2020 presidential election.’
- The Latino Deportations brief points to ‘faster deportation timelines, reduced due process protections, and rising self-deportation under heightened enforcement pressures,’ indicating erosion of due process and rule-of-law protections.
AU10
Suppression of Dissent
10
↑
Evidence (3)
- Following the election, Donald Trump has done things that seem unusual for a president-elect, including speaking out against protesters.
- Federal agents ‘deployed chemical weapons against protesters’ during raids and protests—use of state force to suppress dissent and protest activity.
- Use of lawsuits and legal intimidation creating a ‘chilling effect’ on journalism, discouraging aggressive reporting and suppressing critical coverage: ‘stories that may never be pursued under the shadow of legal intimidation by those in positions of power.’
Recent Analyses
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2026-09-16
DOGE cuts to federal government staffing and spending are being undone : NPRThis NPR report documents the aftermath and continuation of the DOGE effort to shrink the federal workforce, which the reporting indicates failed to deliver promised savings (spending actually increaselevated AC07 AC10 AC01 AC09
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2026-09-16
DOGE Report – House Oversight DemocratsThis oversight report documents multiple structural markers of democratic backsliding centered on the DOGE initiative. The most prominent patterns are the consolidation of executive power through exechigh AC07 AC10 AC01 AC08
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2026-09-16
Operations of the Department of Government Efficiency (“DOGE”) – Democracy ForwardThis text, an investigation summary from Democracy Forward, documents structural markers of autocracy centered on the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), established via executive order on Janhigh AC10 AC07 AC01 AC08
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2026-09-16
This Deceptive ICE Tactic Violates the Fourth Amendment | American Civil Liberties UnionThis ACLU-sourced text documents deceptive ICE enforcement tactics—officers impersonating police to gain warrantless home entry, which the ACLU challenges as a Fourth Amendment violation. It is a civielevated AC04 AU01 AU10
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2026-09-16
CONGRESSIONAL RECORD—HOUSE H3404This text is an excerpt from the Congressional Record documenting routine House floor proceedings. It contains three distinct segments: (1) Representative McGovern’s one-minute speech advocating for alow
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2026-09-16
Pardoned Jan. 6 rioters are in court again over previous chargesThe provided text is a brief news headline and snippet reporting that pardoned January 6 defendants are appearing in court over previous (unrelated) charges, including one arrested on an outstanding slow
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2026-09-16
[PDF] Table of ContentsThis House Judiciary Committee Democrats staff report documents a cluster of high-severity autocratic and authoritarian markers stemming from the mass pardon of nearly 1,600 January 6th rioters and thsevere AC09 AC04 AC07 AC06
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2026-09-16
Federal court halts ‘loyalty question’ on federal job applicationsThe text documents a structural pattern of politicizing the federal civil service through loyalty testing (AC07), tying employment to personal allegiance to the leader rather than to the Constitutionelevated AC07 AU04 AU02 AU05
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2026-09-16
It’s a War. Do Democrats Get That – Mother JonesThis Mother Jones opinion piece by David Corn characterizes the opening two weeks of the Trump administration as a deliberate move toward autocracy and oligarchy, executed in partnership with Elon Mushigh AC01 AC07 AC10 AC08
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2026-09-16
Trump purges at least a dozen inspectors general overnightThis text documents a significant structural/institutional action: the overnight firing of at least a dozen independent inspectors general across multiple federal agencies, described by lawmakers as ahigh AC07 AC08 AC10 AC01
Analyses current to 2026-09-16.
Page rendered 2026-09-16 19:36 UTC.