Cost of Trump: Your Money. Their Choices.
When the administration spends, it spends your money. Every figure below is sourced per line item and updated as new data arrives.
Ledger v1.0.0 · updated 2026-06-29
What it costs your household
| Income decile | Annual tariff cost |
|---|---|
| Decile 1 (lowest) | $517 |
| Decile 10 (highest) | $2K |
Where the money goes
DOGE Transition Costs direct federal
Federal outlays incurred to execute the DOGE workforce reductions. Distinct from DOGE’s economy-wide cost (indirect) and lost IRS revenue (indirect) – the three are never summed (charter Rule 6).
| Deferred Resignation Program (admin-leave payments) estimated | $4.50B |
| Reduction-in-Force severance payments estimated |
$763.9M
one time · Partnership for Public Service
|
Tariff Farm Subsidies direct federal
Taxpayer-funded payments to farmers harmed by the administration’s tariffs. Distinct from the consumer tariff burden in Ledger B – same cause, different payer (charter Rule 6).
| Farmer Bridge Assistance Program (tariff bailout) confirmed |
$12.00B
one time · USDA press release
|
Tariff Tax Burden household burden
Per-household incidence of the administration’s tariffs, reported by income decile (Yale Budget Lab). Section 122 expiring scenario. NOTE: tariffs also raise federal revenue – the offset is disclosed on the methodology page (charter Rule 5) but is NOT netted against this burden.
| Annual tariff cost per household, by income decile estimated |
by decile (see above)
annual recurring · Yale Budget Lab, State of U.S. Tariffs: April 8, 2026
|
DOGE Economy-Wide Cost indirect
Broader economic cost of the federal workforce cuts. Excludes lost IRS revenue and litigation (charter Rule 6) – do not add to the IRS-revenue item.
| Economy-wide cost of federal workforce cuts (FY2025) estimated | $135.00B |
Lost Tax Revenue (IRS staffing cuts) indirect
Federal revenue foregone due to reduced IRS enforcement capacity. Source is Yale Budget Lab (NOT Tax Policy Center); figure is a 10-year cumulative, not annual.
| Net revenue loss from a 22,000-employee IRS RIF (2026-2035) estimated | $198.00B |
Research Funding Loss indirect
Economic impact of the NIH indirect-cost (F&A) cap. Static estimate – not an annual recurring loss.
| Economic loss from the NIH indirect-cost cap estimated | $16.00B |
Supporting context (not costed)
- Federal workforce reductions (separations): ~378,000 separations; net -256,000 (-11%), Dec 2024 – Jan 2026 — GAO-26-108583, Federal Agency Workforce Changes: Update for July 2025-January 2026
How we count
Two ledgers, never summed. Costs are typed by basis (one-time / annual / cumulative) and attributed against a baseline. Sources are tiered (primary-official > research-institution > advocacy > news); only primary-official sources are marked high confidence. Tariffs raise federal revenue as well as costing households — that offset is disclosed, not hidden.
Data for educational and analytical purposes. Updated 2026-06-29 · ledger v1.0.0 · generated 2026-09-16 19:36 UTC